The 10 Real Estate Stories That Defined 2025

by Allaire Conte

In 2025, the housing market was defined by contradiction: a recovery that didn’t feel like one, and fixes that raised new questions even as they answered old ones. Across the country, homeowners, renters, and builders all hit breaking points—just in different ways, for different reasons.

Homeownership has long been a cornerstone of the American dream, but what we often forget is that behind every white picket fence and promise of building generational wealth, are real people fighting for a better future, or simply trying to stay afloat. 

This list spotlights their stories: from lawmakers pushing for reform to economists parsing the noise—and the retirees, buyers, sellers, renters, and builders caught in the middle.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on Dec. 10, 2025 (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

10. Federal Reserve finally cuts rates, but mortgage relief falls short

After months of pressure from President Donald Trump and signs of a cooling labor market, the Federal Reserve finally began cutting interest rates in September. Despite fears that easing too soon could fan the flames of inflation, the central bank moved ahead with a series of modest quarter-point cuts—three in total—bringing the benchmark rate down to a range of 3.5% to 3.75% by year’s end.

It was a widely anticipated, if somewhat anticlimactic, move for homeowners and buyers. Markets had long priced in the cuts, and mortgage rates failed to fall below the 5% thawing point that many hoped would unfreeze the market.

What comes next is just as unclear. As rate cut debates and questions about who will lead the Fed in the new year continue to swirl, this will be a story to keep watching in 2026.

Montana townhomes in the winter months.
80% of Montana residential property owners got a property tax cut in 2025. (Getty Images)

9. Montana overhauls property tax system

Montana’s property tax overhaul became one of the most closely watched housing policy stories of the year, offering rare, tangible relief in a landscape dominated by rising bills. 

Nearly 80% of homeowners saw their taxes cut in 2025, with average savings topping $500 plus a one-time $400 rebate, after lawmakers rewrote the state’s tax rate structure. The new system grants primary homeowners a reduced tax rate, shifting more of the load onto second-home owners, short-term rental operators, and owners of higher-value properties.

But the overhaul is not free of controversy. Critics argue the plan doesn’t shrink the overall burden, but simply redistributes it. And for those newly footing the bill, that shift has sparked fresh tension.

Yet, the urgency for the reform was born out of a crisis: Soaring home values fueled by a wave of out-of-state, often all-cash buyers left many longtime residents unable to afford their taxes. Although Montanans own about 77% of the state’s taxable residential property, they shoulder more than 84% of the total property tax burden. That mismatch sparked bipartisan action and turned Montana into a national case study for how tax reform can land, politically and practically, in a rapidly shifting housing landscape.

View at night of the Eiffel Tower of Las Vegas Strip and neon lights
View at night of the Eiffel Tower and neon lights on the Las Vegas Strip. (Getty Images)

8. Las Vegas inventory hits the jackpot—but not in a good way

In 2025, Las Vegas became a case study in what happens when two major seller groups—retirees and investors—head for the exits at the same time. 

Housing inventory in the city surged nearly 78% year over year by June, far outpacing the national average, as older homeowners relocated to be near family or move into assisted living, and investors cashed out after years of appreciation. 

But longtime industry pros like Robert Little emphasized that the city’s appeal hasn’t disappeared.

"Las Vegas continues to attract buyers thanks to its favorable tax structure, desirable climate, and strong lifestyle amenities," he told Realtor.com®. "When national conditions improve, particularly interest rates, Las Vegas is well-positioned to see another surge in appreciation."

7. Federal tax reforms bring promise of relief—but only for some

Tax relief took the national spotlight this summer as Congress battled over the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act—and specifically, how much relief to offer homeowners in high-cost states. A chief sticking point was the long-contested cap on State and Local Tax (SALT) deductions, which had been limited to $10,000 since 2017.

For years, that cap hit homeowners hardest in places like New Jersey, New York, and California, where local taxes often far exceed the threshold. After weeks of debate, lawmakers struck a deal: The SALT deduction cap would rise to $40,000 for joint filers, unlocking significant new write-offs for those who itemize.

The final package also included a new $6,000 “senior deduction” aimed at easing burdens for older homeowners on fixed incomes. Together, these changes offered long-awaited relief to retirees and working families squeezed by inflation and rising property taxes.

6. Home insurance pressure mounts across the country

What once seemed like a regional problem reached critical mass in 2025: America’s home insurance crisis. Between 2020 and 2023, home insurance premiums rose 33% nationally. By 2025, a staggering 1 in 7 homes lacked insurance altogether, whether by choice or because homeowners were dropped and priced out.

The shift was especially visible in California and Florida, where major carriers continued to pull out or scale back. Millions were forced onto the states’ last-resort plans—bare-bones policies with high premiums and limited coverage.

The human toll came into sharp focus after the Palisades Fire destroyed more than 4,700 homes in Southern California. Claire O’Connor, a local real estate agent and homeowner, who’d lost private coverage just months earlier, recalled her disbelief:

“I literally said to my husband when we got dropped [in November 2024], ‘As if our house is going to burn down... so many houses would have to burn to get to ours.’ We were so far from the hills.” 

But two months later, her home was gone.

As disasters grow more frequent and insurers flee risky areas, the crisis has emerged as a defining and destabilizing pillar of U.S. homeownership.

Aerial of burned homes from the Eaton Fire in California
An aerial view shows homes burned in the Eaton Fire on Feb. 5, 2025 (Mario Tama/Getty Images)

5. LA wildfire recovery highlights nation's building breakdown

Nine months after wildfires tore through Los Angeles, destroying more than 11,000 homes, recovery remained painfully stalled—highlighting not only the challenge of rebuilding after disaster but also the deeper dysfunction fueling America’s 4-million-home housing shortage.

As of October, fewer than 1,400 rebuilding permits had been issued. In hard-hit neighborhoods like Pacific Palisades and Altadena, homeowners face overlapping barriers: insurance gaps, soaring construction costs, zoning red tape, and a chronic labor shortage.

With permanent rebuilding out of reach for many, some residents turned to temporary solutions. The city has approved more than 5,000 accessory dwelling unit (ADU) permits, some serving as long-term replacements.

4. A ‘cruel summer’ of gridlock and delistings

Many entered the summer with high hopes for home sales to pick up speed, but instead found gridlock. 

Despite rising inventory, affordability barriers kept transactions near record lows. Realtor.com® senior economist Jake Krimmel dubbed it a “cruel summer,” marked by frustration, hesitation, and mismatched expectations. 

"It's the Anna Karenina housing market: Everyone is unhappy, but each in their own way," he wrote. "Buyers face steep affordability barriers. Sellers are losing market power but are futilely resisting. Builders are now pulling back even as the nation remains short of 4 million homes. And regional markets are dysfunctional in their own unique ways."

The summer’s slowdown was more than a disappointment; it was a reckoning that exposed a fragile recovery built on uneven footing and leaving many to question whether the traditional housing cycle still holds.

(Getty Images)

3. Liberation Day hits builders hard

In a sweeping move branded as “Liberation Day,” President Trump overhauled tariff rates for more than 65 of the country's trade partners, in an attempt to tip global trade back in favor of U.S. workers. But for the already-strained construction industry, it was a costly blow.

Prices surged for essentials like lumber, steel, drywall, and appliances, adding an average of $9,200 per new home, according to homebuilder estimates, as critical inputs like appliances and countertops faced import taxes as high as 54%.

In fast-growing states like Idaho, North Carolina, and Utah, the ripple effects were immediate, with builders warning of delays, cost pass-throughs to buyers, or canceled projects altogether.

Homeowners face a stiff penalty for staying in their homes too long—a hidden home equity tax (Realtor.com)

2. Hidden home equity tax enrages sellers

A long-overlooked tax rule rocketed to the national stage this year as soaring home prices collided with a 1997-era capital gains exclusion, blindsiding longtime homeowners with hefty tax bills.

The current law caps tax-free profits from a primary home sale at $250,000 for individuals and at $500,000 for couples—unchanged despite a 260% increase in home values. That mismatch now affects nearly 1 in 3 sellers, and projections suggest over half of homeowners will be hit by 2030.

The backlash sparked competing reform efforts. One of the most radical: Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s “No Tax on Home Sales Act,” which would eliminate capital gains taxes on primary residences entirely.

“I just think this is a great gift for the American people,” Greene told Realtor.com®.

Trump signaled support, though Greene’s departure from Congress in early 2026 casts doubt on the bill’s future.

Meanwhile, a bipartisan alternative—the More Homes on the Market Act—remains in play. It would raise the exclusion limit and tie it to inflation, offering targeted relief and potentially unlocking millions of homes from aging owners ready to sell.

A collage photo of Naples with dollar signs in the sky
(Getty Images)

1. Florida becomes housing's pressure cooker

No story or place captured the year’s extremes quite like the Sunshine State.

Florida saw some of the steepest home price declines in 2025, with eight of its largest metros projected to fall nearly 2% in 2026, even as ultra-luxury sales surged in some markets.

It also became ground zero in the fight over property taxes. Homeowners like Debbie and Walter, whose annual bill skyrocketed from $15,000 to a staggering $91,000, found themselves reeling from costs that upended their financial future. In response, lawmakers introduced more than seven competing proposals for relief, including one that would eliminate the non-school portion of property taxes entirely.

Insurance woes added even more pressure. Nearly half of Floridians now say they want to move due to affordability concerns, with ballooning insurance premiums often cited as the tipping point.

And then there’s the gopher tortoise. Developers and private landowners now face delays and five- to seven-figure costs to relocate tortoises before building, pitting ecological preservation against urgent housing demand.

Florida offers a glimpse of where the rest of the country may be headed: a high-stakes battleground where climate risk, tax policy, insurance instability, and development pressure collide and where the outcome could reshape the American housing map.

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Fred Dinca

Fred Dinca

Realtor® | License ID: 0995708101

+1(318) 408-1008

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